Israeli sources are reporting that Bolivia and Venezuela are supplying Iran with uranium for its nuclear program. I honestly do not believe anyone really has a clear plan to deal with this profound, existential threat. Perhaps there isn't really a clear path forward.
I do believe Iran will use a nuclear weapon on Israel (and other likely other countries) when it finally develops a working bomb. If Israel (or the U.S.) is completely successful, Israel can probably weather the storm of protest (and, let's face it, most of the world, including many Arab states, will be thrilled). However...
What if you don't get everything in the first strike? Let's say your intelligence is not 100% accurate, you don't destroy quite enough and Iran can still bomb Israel. The problem is that one bomb essentially eliminates Israel (unlike the United States, which by virtue of its size, could absorb a limited nuclear attack). Or worse, what if your intelligence is wrong, you bomb Iran to smithereens and they had nothing?
Yossi Melman's analysis of this situation is worth reading here. A recent report by the Jerusalem Post is also worth reading here.
Another question: do you use nuclear weapons to destroy nuclear weapons? Why or why not?
Another question: what if Israel is successful but Arab nations and others use it as a pretext to attack Israel? Does the United States join Israel? Is this WWIII?
Next up, is the "Peace Process." (BTW, horrible name: at the moment there is no peace and no process.) There is lots of finger pointing to go around...Netanyahu, Lieberman, Obama. As I see it, here is the most important thing: What is in Israel's best interest? The status quo is not in Israel's best interest...if there is no solution over the next 20 years, the demographics go strongly against Israel. Next, a one-state solution is absolutely not workable...again, demographics mean that in 20 years Israel as we know it does not exist. Of course the 'two-state' solution is a very difficult proposition, with many thorny issues, but out of three choices (status quo, one-state, two-state) some form/variation/hybrid of the two-state solution is the only way forward and the faster the better for Israel.
Check out the Brookings Institute website for some superb analysis on the issues.
